One of the primary reasons we said the Outlook Conference numbers would be bearish is that USDA has a history of using a best case scenario from a yield standpoint. A few weeks ago, I wrote that the markets had two more potentially bearish events to get through before the spring planting season starts and the markets again turn to weather and yield potential. Those two events were the February USDA Outlook Conference that concluded today and the 31 March series of reports that include planting intentions and the 1 March quarterly stocks estimates. USDA's first look at the possible 2014/15 U.S. supply and demand numbers didn't really hold any surprises. The table below shows its outlook compared to the current marketing year.One of the prima...