World Perspectives

Politics of Tariffs; Tariffs as a Tax

Politics of Tariffs The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington heard legal arguments last week regarding Donald Trump’s use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to circumvent Congress’s power to levy tariffs. The reported reaction of the court was skepticism as to its legality – and in unusual cases like this, skepticism is a weightier indicator of outcome. If there is a loss, there will be an appeal to the Supreme Court, and the President may game the situation with other legal authorities much the way President Biden tried with student loan forgiveness. Democrats warn that a Trump win will inform their own Party’s actions the next time they possess the White House. Their &...

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livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for March will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.3 percent of last year. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.5 million head. The pre-report estimates were spl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Please see the attached summary sheet - page one: ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Pressure and Energy Strength Lift Grain Markets

Key Market Developments Macro: Reinforcing a Higher-for-Longer Environment Today’s inflation data reinforced what markets were already beginning to price in: a more persistent, “higher for longer” rate environment. U.S. producer prices came in above expectations, with headline...

Great Timing; Farm Skeptics; War’s Impact; Thursday’s Tumults

Great Timing The workers’ union at the JBS meatpacking plant in Greeley, Colorado, is on strike. The union is demanding more pay for its members, of course, and they want the company to pay for gloves. Given the shortage of cattle, there is overcapacity in cattle slaughter, and JBS has be...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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