World Perspectives

Post-Trump Outcomes; Food but Not Income; Between Elephants

Post-Trump Outcomes Analysts in Washington are war gaming the possible aftermath of next Tuesday’s presidential election and finding nothing good. On the one hand, if Mr. Trump wins reelection, the “swamp” as he likes to call it, predicts a newly emboldened incumbent White House that will make the first term look lame by comparison. It should be noted that the Trump campaign rhetoric has sounded more like a repeat of 2016. And if he loses, they say he will lay traps for his successor that will be uncomfortable at best and possibly dangerous. For example, he could announce a free trade agreement with Taiwan or the intention to sell advanced weapons to Taipei. Either move would leave a president-elect Biden with either acce...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trade Deal News Fails to Excite Ag Markets

The CBOT tried to rally early on Wednesday after traders had the opportunity to react to the U.S.-Japan trade deal, but a lack of details left markets wondering about the true impact on U.S. balance sheets. That meant corn, soybeans, and wheat all settled lower for the day, with favorable Midwe...

15 Percent and Certainty; Purity Tests; Cherry Picking Cherries

15 Percent and Certainty The U.S. trade agreement with Japan announced late yesterday was likely Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s final act. Financial markets reacted positively since the deal at least brings certainty. The surprise concession to 15 percent tariffs now sets a baseline that...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.405/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2275/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.6/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trade Deal News Fails to Excite Ag Markets

The CBOT tried to rally early on Wednesday after traders had the opportunity to react to the U.S.-Japan trade deal, but a lack of details left markets wondering about the true impact on U.S. balance sheets. That meant corn, soybeans, and wheat all settled lower for the day, with favorable Midwe...

15 Percent and Certainty; Purity Tests; Cherry Picking Cherries

15 Percent and Certainty The U.S. trade agreement with Japan announced late yesterday was likely Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s final act. Financial markets reacted positively since the deal at least brings certainty. The surprise concession to 15 percent tariffs now sets a baseline that...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.405/bushel, down $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2275/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.6/short ton, down $1...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 23 July)

WPI Grain Prices and Freight Rate App Note: you can also visit the app directly by clicking here. Supplemental Information The section below offers a concise view of the options available in the current version of the WPI FOB Price and Freight Rate app, along with a short “How To”...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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