World Perspectives

Post-Trump Outcomes; Food but Not Income; Between Elephants

Post-Trump Outcomes Analysts in Washington are war gaming the possible aftermath of next Tuesday’s presidential election and finding nothing good. On the one hand, if Mr. Trump wins reelection, the “swamp” as he likes to call it, predicts a newly emboldened incumbent White House that will make the first term look lame by comparison. It should be noted that the Trump campaign rhetoric has sounded more like a repeat of 2016. And if he loses, they say he will lay traps for his successor that will be uncomfortable at best and possibly dangerous. For example, he could announce a free trade agreement with Taiwan or the intention to sell advanced weapons to Taipei. Either move would leave a president-elect Biden with either acce...

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The Cold Storage report for January showed that red meat and poultry supplies rose from the month ending December, but total supplies are down from a year ago and well below the 5-year average. Total supplies were 1.878 billion pounds, down 2.5 percent from a year ago. This indicates a tighteni...

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Hog and Pork Outlook

The recent volatility in lean hog futures — from fresh contract highs at the end of January to the dramatic early-February selloff — has many in the industry (and WPI clients) wondering what will happen next. WPI’s latest analysis indicates that while pork demand remains stron...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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