The latest OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook plots the growth outlook to 2033 for the major animal proteins and with little surprise, poultry expands its lead. With a per annum growth rate of 1.4 percent, poultry production expands at nearly three times the rate of increased pork production. However, the surprise is that the trend regression shows beef production expanding at a CAGR of 1.1 percent, albeit from a smaller base. Poultry meat will account for half the expansion in global animal protein production over the coming decade. The expansion will occur most rapidly in developing countries, with poultry having a lower feed conversion cost and easier proximity to urban areas. The agencies cite the increased risk of avian influen...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and both the markets and our office will be closed. Please note that the next issue of Ag Perspectives will be published on Tuesday, 26 May. The WPI staff wishes everyone a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend...
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...