World Perspectives

Pre-Existing Policy; Calm Before Storm; EU Pain; Killing Brazilian Ag

Rationalizing Pre-Existing Policy Chinese Vice Minister Han Jun boasted that in light of the trade war, his country can readily shift its sources for agricultural products away from the U.S. He said the impact on China would be limited, but U.S. farmers would of course be conversely hurt. U.S. market share in China had been declining long before the 2018 trade dispute. U.S. agricultural exports fell from $28 billion in 2014 to $24 billion in 2017. China had already increased its preference for Brazilian soybeans, slashed its imports of U.S. corn from 3.5 MMT in 2013 to 0.4 MMT in 2017 through the contrived use of GMO restrictions and stopped American sorghum imports with antidumping/countervailing duty (AD/CVD) penalties.   Calm Bef...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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