World Perspectives

Pre-Existing Policy; Calm Before Storm; EU Pain; Killing Brazilian Ag

Rationalizing Pre-Existing Policy Chinese Vice Minister Han Jun boasted that in light of the trade war, his country can readily shift its sources for agricultural products away from the U.S. He said the impact on China would be limited, but U.S. farmers would of course be conversely hurt. U.S. market share in China had been declining long before the 2018 trade dispute. U.S. agricultural exports fell from $28 billion in 2014 to $24 billion in 2017. China had already increased its preference for Brazilian soybeans, slashed its imports of U.S. corn from 3.5 MMT in 2013 to 0.4 MMT in 2017 through the contrived use of GMO restrictions and stopped American sorghum imports with antidumping/countervailing duty (AD/CVD) penalties.   Calm Bef...

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Market Commentary: Corn and Beans Bravely Higher Ahead of the WASDE

The U.S. government reopened today and the data fog partially lifted in Washington. However, many economic reports will first require time to repopulate their databases. USDA made the decision to publish the November WASDE tomorrow ahead of the agreement to reopen the government and traders spe...

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Pre-WASDE Cash Market Soybean Signals

Writing about what the markets say will happen the day before a major USDA report is always a risky - but still useful - endeavor. This year, the recent U.S. government shutdown and U.S.-China trade war/trade deal intensify these dynamics of risk and worthiness. The shutdown, of course, by remo...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.415/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.3575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.47/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn and Beans Bravely Higher Ahead of the WASDE

The U.S. government reopened today and the data fog partially lifted in Washington. However, many economic reports will first require time to repopulate their databases. USDA made the decision to publish the November WASDE tomorrow ahead of the agreement to reopen the government and traders spe...

soy-oilseeds

Pre-WASDE Cash Market Soybean Signals

Writing about what the markets say will happen the day before a major USDA report is always a risky - but still useful - endeavor. This year, the recent U.S. government shutdown and U.S.-China trade war/trade deal intensify these dynamics of risk and worthiness. The shutdown, of course, by remo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.415/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.3575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.47/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

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Livestock Roundup: Making Sense of Cattle Markets

The first bit of news is the government shutdown has ended. The House voted 222 to 209 to pass the spending package that will lead to the government re-opening through 30 January. Six Democrats voted “yes”, and two Republicans voted “no” on an otherwise party line vote...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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