World Perspectives

Rice as a Stable Crop

Last year, India restricted non-Basmati rice exports believing there would be a weather-related short supply. Production was ample and now the country faces record high inventories that will likely be dumped on the world market. The OECD calculates that Indian farmers are implicitly taxed $120 billion a year due to export restrictions. Dry conditions were expected to impact Indonesia’s rice production, but now the ministry says rice imports may not be needed in 2025. South Korea’s population and rice demand is falling and so Seoul has been incentivizing farmers to grow alternative crops like wheat as an import substitution measure. Rice is not as large a food grain as corn and wheat, but it occupies more emotional importance, especiall...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

Tariff and Macro Policy Change Announcements Coming

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said today that the U.S. is readying an announcement to exempt a number of food and agricultural products not produced in the United States from tariffs. The announcement comes after the President mentioned coffee prices as being high, saying that the U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

Tariff and Macro Policy Change Announcements Coming

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said today that the U.S. is readying an announcement to exempt a number of food and agricultural products not produced in the United States from tariffs. The announcement comes after the President mentioned coffee prices as being high, saying that the U...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry-bulk markets were higher last week amid improved freight inquiries, tightening tonnage lists, and traders hoping for increased grain business in late November and early December. Despite hopes to the contrary, there has been essentially no confirmation of any U.S. grain export business to C...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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