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Rice Signals Future

Global rice stocks are down just 2.7 percent this year, but the drop is larger in key rice consuming countries, plus the largest rice exporting nation, India, imposed an export restriction. This has caused an exaggerated response in price with global values rising 29 percent year-on-year.  This has caused problems in Malaysia where domestic rice was in shortfall and then the government raised the price of imported product by 36 percent to reflect the global market. By contrast, Pakistan’s rice output is up 63 percent and is the second largest crop on record. It looks to export 5 MMT, a 40 percent increase. The U.S. will see a 32 percent increase in rice exports.  El Nino is blamed for the volatility in rice production, and...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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