World Perspectives

Risk of Precaution; Challenging Poor Governance

Risk of Precaution Several European countries stopped vaccinations with AstraZeneca’s product out of an abundance of caution that it was causing blood clots in some recipients. The EU’s medicines regulator now says there is little risk (EMA data shows a 0.0006% rate of blood clots from the vaccine) and that the benefits outweigh the risks. Even the conventional flu vaccine can cause Guillain-Barré Syndrome and even death in a miniscule number of people, but millions of lives are saved. Unexamined is how many more people were infected with COVID-19 or even died due to the hiatus in issuing the prophylactic. Indeed, that is the problem with the precautionary principle in that it focuses solely on risk at the expense of ben...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybeans Surge on China Framework, Trade Deals; Cattle Bull Market Is Over

Trade agreements were the story of the day as the U.S. reached deals with Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam and a framework for a U.S.-China agreement that could result in “substantial” purchases of U.S. soybeans. The latter statement came from U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.26/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.6725/bushel, up $0.255 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $298.2/short ton, up $4.1 from y...

Milei Wins Argentina Election in a Landslide and U.S. Inflation

Yesterday, Argentina held mid-term Congressional elections, with half of the lower House Chamber of Deputies and one-third of the Senate up for election. The winner was Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza party and its coalition partners. The La Libertad Avanza party won 40.78 percent of th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybeans Surge on China Framework, Trade Deals; Cattle Bull Market Is Over

Trade agreements were the story of the day as the U.S. reached deals with Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam and a framework for a U.S.-China agreement that could result in “substantial” purchases of U.S. soybeans. The latter statement came from U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessen...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.26/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.6725/bushel, up $0.255 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $298.2/short ton, up $4.1 from y...

Milei Wins Argentina Election in a Landslide and U.S. Inflation

Yesterday, Argentina held mid-term Congressional elections, with half of the lower House Chamber of Deputies and one-third of the Senate up for election. The winner was Javier Milei’s La Libertad Avanza party and its coalition partners. The La Libertad Avanza party won 40.78 percent of th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Daily Estimate of Managed Money Positioning in Ag Futures

Amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, WPI presents the following estimates of managed money traders’ positioning in key agricultural futures markets. WPI’s estimates are based on econometric and signal processing methods that use futures price, volume, and open interest informa...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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