World Perspectives
feed-grains wheat

Russia’s Grain Shortfall

Today’s USDA quarterly Grain Stocks report provided the market with a bullish input but there may be another shoe to drop. Russia’s stocks to use ratio for corn and wheat have been dropping for four straight years. Over that timeframe, it is down 64 percent for corn and 48 percent for wheat. Russia has continued to export wheat at low prices despite the tightening supply, but it has increased the export duty on corn by ten-fold, to 2,786.2 rubles ($30)/MT.  Russia has exported aggressively to both earn foreign exchange and build respect from food insecure nations. However, Moscow has concluded that at least when it comes to corn, it needs to cover its own food security needs and prevent domestic food inflation. But wheat a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn and Beans Bravely Higher Ahead of the WASDE

The U.S. government reopened today and the data fog partially lifted in Washington. However, many economic reports will first require time to repopulate their databases. USDA made the decision to publish the November WASDE tomorrow ahead of the agreement to reopen the government and traders spe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn and Beans Bravely Higher Ahead of the WASDE

The U.S. government reopened today and the data fog partially lifted in Washington. However, many economic reports will first require time to repopulate their databases. USDA made the decision to publish the November WASDE tomorrow ahead of the agreement to reopen the government and traders spe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.415/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.3575/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.47/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $328.4/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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