World Perspectives
feed-grains wheat

Russia’s Grain Shortfall

Today’s USDA quarterly Grain Stocks report provided the market with a bullish input but there may be another shoe to drop. Russia’s stocks to use ratio for corn and wheat have been dropping for four straight years. Over that timeframe, it is down 64 percent for corn and 48 percent for wheat. Russia has continued to export wheat at low prices despite the tightening supply, but it has increased the export duty on corn by ten-fold, to 2,786.2 rubles ($30)/MT.  Russia has exported aggressively to both earn foreign exchange and build respect from food insecure nations. However, Moscow has concluded that at least when it comes to corn, it needs to cover its own food security needs and prevent domestic food inflation. But wheat a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War and Easter Exit Strategy

There were a lot of moving parts on the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week, but liquidation and profit-taking may have been the strongest. A prolonged war and higher energy prices will impact consumption and inflation, while supporting biofuels. Storm systems may reduce some of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5225/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9825/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $315.2/short ton, down $3 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.975/bushel, down $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.685/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $318.2/short ton, up $1.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: War and Easter Exit Strategy

There were a lot of moving parts on the last trading day of the holiday-shortened week, but liquidation and profit-taking may have been the strongest. A prolonged war and higher energy prices will impact consumption and inflation, while supporting biofuels. Storm systems may reduce some of the...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5225/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.9825/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.635/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $315.2/short ton, down $3 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 26 Corn closed at $4.5425/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.975/bushel, down $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.685/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $318.2/short ton, up $1.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Plenty of Information — No Clear Direction

Key Market Developments Macro: Tension Without Direction Markets are trading the tension between escalation and resolution — and neither side has control. Both equities and commodities tested key technical levels this week before reversing sharply on headlines suggesting — at least...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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