World Perspectives
feed-grains wheat

Russia’s Grain Shortfall

Today’s USDA quarterly Grain Stocks report provided the market with a bullish input but there may be another shoe to drop. Russia’s stocks to use ratio for corn and wheat have been dropping for four straight years. Over that timeframe, it is down 64 percent for corn and 48 percent for wheat. Russia has continued to export wheat at low prices despite the tightening supply, but it has increased the export duty on corn by ten-fold, to 2,786.2 rubles ($30)/MT.  Russia has exported aggressively to both earn foreign exchange and build respect from food insecure nations. However, Moscow has concluded that at least when it comes to corn, it needs to cover its own food security needs and prevent domestic food inflation. But wheat a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 4.9 percent week over week, reaching 16.5 percent of the suitable area. The national average yield continued to rise as combines moved through the core production zones, now at 2.6 MT/ha. In the highest-productivity regions, cutting was still limited, but early tests poin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest advanced 4.9 percent week over week, reaching 16.5 percent of the suitable area. The national average yield continued to rise as combines moved through the core production zones, now at 2.6 MT/ha. In the highest-productivity regions, cutting was still limited, but early tests poin...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.4425/bushel, up $0.17 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.5725/bushel, up $0.3275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $330.8/short ton, up $8.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  European wheat markets remain under pressure amid heavy global supplies and as aggressive Black Sea and Argentine offers cap any rallies. Too, the firmer euro has further eroded EU export competitiveness just as FOB offers from Argentina near $209–211/MT for 11.5 perce...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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