World Perspectives
wheat

Russia's Wheat Export Tax

Russia has exploded as a wheat exporter, tripling its sales in just a decade. By contrast, domestic consumption grew some but has been relatively stagnant the past few years. That has because the population has grown at just 0.15 percent per year and is forecast to fall going forward. Sensitive to public resistance to food price increases, the government has been using an export tax to meter how much of the nation’s wheat gets exported. Russia’s wheat stocks-to-use ratio is higher than it has been for six of the past ten years. As in other countries, the contributions to food price inflation are more diverse than just the bulk commodity value. If wheat is on average about 12 percent of the value of a loaf of bread, halving the...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather, Unknown Trading Relations, Positioned for Monday

It was another day of trading in the green in the overnight for grains and the soy complex only to fail following through in the day session for wheat and soymeal. All major ags opened higher but soymeal quickly reversed, and all three wheats headed south about an hour into the session. Monday&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.4975/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.2175/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trade Deal, Retaliation List, Mixed Outcomes

Soybeans and soyoil held their gains from higher overnight closes, but the guidance of being higher to neutral overnight in corn, wheat and meal was rejected by day traders. Neither solid corn export sales, weather concerns in European and Chinese wheat, nor the prospect of trade agreement reli...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Good Weather, Unknown Trading Relations, Positioned for Monday

It was another day of trading in the green in the overnight for grains and the soy complex only to fail following through in the day session for wheat and soymeal. All major ags opened higher but soymeal quickly reversed, and all three wheats headed south about an hour into the session. Monday&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.4975/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.2175/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5175/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $294.1/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Trade Deal, Retaliation List, Mixed Outcomes

Soybeans and soyoil held their gains from higher overnight closes, but the guidance of being higher to neutral overnight in corn, wheat and meal was rejected by day traders. Neither solid corn export sales, weather concerns in European and Chinese wheat, nor the prospect of trade agreement reli...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for April 25-May 1, 2025.  Wheat: Net sales of 69,700 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 3 percent from the previous week, but up noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 493,500 MT were unchanged from the previous week, but up 10 perce...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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