World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Ukrainian corn is offered at $165/MT FOB for December-February, which is roughly in line with U.S. stocks on a CNF basis to the main destinations in the Mediterranean. However, a different origin becomes the cheapest  from March onward for all major destinations in Africa and Asia. Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was slightly weaker last week because of the growing competition from Argentina and Australia. The Argentine 12 pro wheat, offered at $165/MT FOB for December/January, is by far the cheapest origin for this quality. Rumors that the Russian government might limit the grain movement in the Krasnodar region due to the swine fever outbreak don’t seem to be of major concern to the market thus far. If such a restriction is impl...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Historic Trends in USDA’s November Crop Production Report

Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds

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Heading into next week’s (mercifully) planned USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports, a key focus of the markets has been forecasting the agency’s yield numbers.  Over the past five years, USDA has exhibited a tendency to reduce its forecast of the corn and soybean yield, harve...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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IEEPA Alternatives; Transatlantic Machinations; Anti-Bubble in Ag

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3525/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3425/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $324.8/short ton, up $7.4 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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