Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was under pressure last week due to the absence of export demand for old crop as well as the bearish outlook of last Friday’s USDA reports. The USDA estimate for the Russian crop of 77 MMT is probably conservative as most Russian analysts’ numbers are in the 80s. However, USDA’s estimate for the Ukrainian crop of 29 MMT is probably about 1-2 MMT above the average trade estimate. The weather in Russia and Ukraine remains favorable for wheat development. Ethiopia confirmed the purchase of 400,000 MT of optional origin wheat, and results from a tender for 600,000 MT are still awaited. Algeria announced an optional origin wheat tender for July shipment that will close on Wednesday. R...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.