World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

Soybean Crushing Margins Outlook for Q1 2025

CBOT board soybean crush margins have been volatile over the past two months due to rapidly changing political and export outlooks as well as shifting global supply expectations. In mid-October, the January crush margin hit a rally high of 155 cents/bushel before it dropped to a contract low of 128 cents in early November. The rapid collapse in margins was due to the sharp rally in soybean futures, that was combined with soyoil weakness that offset gains in soymeal values. Since then, the margin has stabilized but recently posted a 7 percent decline from Tuesday’s high to Thursday’s close.  The new volatility suddenly clouding soybean crush values is causing many to wonder what is next for prices and the processing margin...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.265/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.4075/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.225/bushel, down $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $314/short ton, down $4...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: HPAI Vaccine and Trade Concerns

The Indiana State Board of Animal Health (BOAH) reports that the most recent cases of HPAI have been confirmed on two commercial broiler operations, two commercial meat duck facilities, and one commercial breeder duck operation in LaGrange and Elkhart Counties. On February 8, 2022, HPAI was ini...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.265/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.4075/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.225/bushel, down $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $314/short ton, down $4...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: HPAI Vaccine and Trade Concerns

The Indiana State Board of Animal Health (BOAH) reports that the most recent cases of HPAI have been confirmed on two commercial broiler operations, two commercial meat duck facilities, and one commercial breeder duck operation in LaGrange and Elkhart Counties. On February 8, 2022, HPAI was ini...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

Tariff Trouble; UPF Killers; GIs Meet Reality; European Consensus; Takes On to Know One

Tariff Trouble Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate are pushing for votes in the House on the legitimacy of tariffs imposed by President Trump, including his use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). But Biden Administration Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told a Bloomb...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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