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Sugar High

Sugar prices are moving to new highs as supplies tighten. Brazil, the world’s largest producer of sugar, saw output this year drop below that of 2020/21. China’s production is also below 2021 but demand is growing. Initial concerns might turn to biofuel but human consumption is the cause of 95.5 percent of disappearance.  Assuming normal weather, global sugar production should rebound due to the higher return it now presents. In the final analysis, global sugar production is highly cyclical. Current higher prices may compel more speculators into the market, but managing their positions becomes the more important factor.  ...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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