World Perspectives
softs

Sugar Price Response

The March 2025 No. 11 sugar contract rebounded last week but it is still down over 20 percent from its high. Analysts started the year expecting sugar prices to rise this year on short supplies. The International Sugar Organization is still warning of a net deficit once global consumption is subtracted from production. Carryout has declined over the past four years and is at a 13-year low. Stocks to use are down to just over 20 percent. It doesn’t help that number three exporter India has had export restrictions. But the two major suppliers have responded to the price incentives. Brazil supplies over half of all traded sugar and its farmers expanded area. There is also less sugar being used as ethanol feedstock. Production is down fr...

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Please see attachment...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Livestock industry margins were decidedly mixed last week with diverging trends developing across the industry. Beef packer margins gained for the second straight week thanks to stronger beef prices that offset higher fed cattle prices, while feedlot margins dipped for both placements and close...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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