World Perspectives
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Sugar Volatility

It has been a volatile year for global sugar prices. They hit 27.95 cents/pound on 6 November 2023 – the highest since 1980. They fell 30 percent to 19.69 cents/pound in May and now are running around 20.26 cents/pound.   It is difficult to draw a complete supply/demand imbalance as the rationale. Global sugar production has been expanding by 1.21 percent per year, but over the same period, global ending stocks have declined by 1.46 percent per year. Yet human consumption has only been increasing by 0.57 percent per year. It would be easy to blame biofuels except the change in biofuels demand is not that different than the change from human demand. The area sown to both sugar beets and sugarcane has been relatively static a...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5625/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.5/short ton, down $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weaker Crude Oil Sinks CBOT Despite Soybean Sales to China

The CBOT on Tuesday failed to follow Monday’s dramatic technical strength and corn, the soy complex, and wheat all settled lower for the day. A sharp pullback in crude oil prices was primarily responsible for the soy complex weakness as it eliminated a key piece of support for soyoil. In...

Labeling Away Inflation

Canada initiated action more than two years ago to fight high grocery prices. The plan was hatched after then Prime Minister Justin Trudeau demanded a “comprehensive” approach to reducing grocery prices. His ultimatum was to “stabilize” food prices that were inflating at...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.105/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5625/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.5/short ton, down $0.4...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weaker Crude Oil Sinks CBOT Despite Soybean Sales to China

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Labeling Away Inflation

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins deteriorated sharply again last week, plunging deeper into negative territory and reached their second lowest value back to at least 2010. Margins fell $144/head week over week to –$314 as fed cattle prices rose another $2.83/cwt while the Choice cutout plunged $14.20/...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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