Depending on global commodity supply/demand balances, crop prices tend to decline at harvest and then rise as the marketing year progresses and surplus supplies decline. During the COVID year of 2020, commodity futures began rising ahead of the new crop harvest and then continued rising. In 2021, major commodity values tended to decline as the year progressed, with soybeans staging a rally after the new crop was cleared from the fields. Thus far in 2022, commodity values have been rising as crop stores have become depleted, but in a much more exaggerated fashion due to the potential loss of supplies from Ukraine. If there is a so-called supercycle, the super side of it is strongly influence by the war.   ...