World Perspectives

Tariff Follies Begin; Ludicrous Lutnick; Hill-arious Committee Picks

Tariff Follies Begin There is playing from strength, like having the leverage of oversized trade deficits, and then there is overplaying one’s hand. Blanket 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico for ephemeral reasons fentanyl and immigration, two things Mr. Trump cannot even control in his own country, seems rash. Canada and Mexico will retaliate, and they may even drag out negotiations in a gambit that American consumers can get as irate as government grant recipients were early in the week when the President tried to stall their payments. Using the trade imbalance as leverage to achieve improved terms of trade could be legitimate. The rationale is not only flimsy, but the implementation tomorrow without protection for existing dea...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

Tariff Trouble; UPF Killers; GIs Meet Reality; European Consensus; Takes On to Know One

Tariff Trouble Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate are pushing for votes in the House on the legitimacy of tariffs imposed by President Trump, including his use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). But Biden Administration Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told a Bloomb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2975/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.495/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3625/bushel, down $0.1725 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soybean Sales to China Fail to Impress CBOT

The CBOT was almost uniformly lower on Wednesday with traders booking any long profits and likely adding some short spec positions as momentum wanes from the markets. The down day was a little surprising after USDA reported another 12.1 Mbu of soybeans sold to China for 2025/26, but that news h...

Tariff Trouble; UPF Killers; GIs Meet Reality; European Consensus; Takes On to Know One

Tariff Trouble Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate are pushing for votes in the House on the legitimacy of tariffs imposed by President Trump, including his use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). But Biden Administration Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told a Bloomb...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2975/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.495/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3625/bushel, down $0.1725 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $318.9/short ton, down $8...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins strengthened for the fourth straight week and posted one of their largest weekly gains of the year. Margins rose $42/head to $57 as fed cattle prices slipped another $4/cwt and the cutout held near recent highs. The move pushed packer profits to their firmest levels since ea...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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