World Perspectives

Tariff Follies Begin; Ludicrous Lutnick; Hill-arious Committee Picks

Tariff Follies Begin There is playing from strength, like having the leverage of oversized trade deficits, and then there is overplaying one’s hand. Blanket 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico for ephemeral reasons fentanyl and immigration, two things Mr. Trump cannot even control in his own country, seems rash. Canada and Mexico will retaliate, and they may even drag out negotiations in a gambit that American consumers can get as irate as government grant recipients were early in the week when the President tried to stall their payments. Using the trade imbalance as leverage to achieve improved terms of trade could be legitimate. The rationale is not only flimsy, but the implementation tomorrow without protection for existing dea...

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Market Commentary: Low Volume But Solid Intentions

The CME and traders recovered from a data center problem that halted overnight trading but it was the holiday interrupted week that sent trading volumes sharply lower on Friday. The day started with another flash sale of soybeans to China, evidencing that Beijing is committed to its agreement w...

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Sow and Cattle Slaughter Dynamics

HOGS The USDA is releasing weekly slaughter data that was unavailable through the government shutdown. On average, through mid-November, sow slaughter has been around 57,400 head per week, which is about 3,400 head, or 5.6 percent lower than the weekly average of about 60,800 head per week in 2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4775/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.385/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3775/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, down $1.7 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Low Volume But Solid Intentions

The CME and traders recovered from a data center problem that halted overnight trading but it was the holiday interrupted week that sent trading volumes sharply lower on Friday. The day started with another flash sale of soybeans to China, evidencing that Beijing is committed to its agreement w...

livestock

Sow and Cattle Slaughter Dynamics

HOGS The USDA is releasing weekly slaughter data that was unavailable through the government shutdown. On average, through mid-November, sow slaughter has been around 57,400 head per week, which is about 3,400 head, or 5.6 percent lower than the weekly average of about 60,800 head per week in 2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4775/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.385/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.3775/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $318.7/short ton, down $1.7 f...

livestock

Outlook for Cow Numbers Remains Limited

This year’s volatility in beef and cattle prices – particularly in the past two months – has heightened the industry’s interest in what the U.S. cattle herd will look like next year. The border closure with Mexico has certainly shrank cattle-on-feed inventories while str...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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