If there is a constant in the world of agriculture, it is the countless attempts by participants to forecast the future. In a sense, individual farmers are predicting the future at least for the next 6 to 12 months whenever they sink seeds into the ground or propagate livestock and poultry. Farmers who plant items such as fruit trees and vines are looking at expected conditions several years ahead. Those predictions most certainly include weather, crop prices plus general market conditions if bankers are involved. Financial investments of any kind having to do with the infrastructure of agricultural production, transportation, processing and marketing require a conscious analysis (forecast) of the future conditions that justify such...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
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