World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The August 2017 WASDE

This month’s WASDE has maintained the August edition’s well-earned reputation for producing market-moving surprises.In a market sense, bullish and bearish are relative terms based on comparisons of what has occurred and expectations of what would happen. This month’s WASDE is unrelentingly bearish and has maintained the August edition’s well-earned reputation for producing market-moving surprises. We do not recall a previous August WASDE or one of any month for which the trade’s pre-report expectations were so consistently far from USDA’s production and supply/demand estimates. Following are some of the key estimates from today’s release:From estimated 2017 national average yields through projected ending stocks, more of everything than exp...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Limping Home After a Dreary Week

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

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Competing Manufacturing Data

According to S&P Global, the US manufacturing sector grew for the fourth consecutive month in September. The U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers' index recorded 52 points in September, down from 53 a month prior and indicating a weaker rate of expansion of the manufacturing sector. A rea...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Limping Home After a Dreary Week

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.19/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.1525/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.18/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $278.6/short ton, down $0.7...

Competing Manufacturing Data

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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