World Perspectives

The Fantastic Year Ahead

Prognosticators are signaling a lot of consensus around some key issues going into the new year. When everyone agrees, the usual advice is to run for shelter because it is bound to be wrong. Yet, it all could be true. The so-called honeymoon period for a new president has gotten much shorter over the years but President-Elect Biden’s success could involve serious effort on areas of consensus, while limiting actions to symbolism on issues in dispute. Areas of Consensus Agriculture: Farmers voted for Trump, but Democrats want to court support from, not retribute against, this constituency. Farmers received huge cash infusions from Trump as trade war and COVID-19 relief, Biden could continue that flow but based on the adoption of bette...

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Recent Market Volatility Increases Futures Mispricing

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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