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The February WASDE

The February WASDE typically generates few surprises. In that sense, today’s report stands out as containing some changes that exceeded expectations. The surprises, if that is what they should be called, are not a matter of direction but of degree. And they involve changes in U.S. supply/demand for 2017/18, not the revisions made to Argentine and Brazilian production estimates. The tables below provide some of the key 2017/18 numbers from today’s WASDE. Following are some more specific comments: Corn - USDA increased estimated U.S. corn exports by 125 million bushels, which was not unexpected. We have often noted during the past few weeks that the pace of export sales was rising as U.S. corn became competitive in the world m...

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May 24 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Wheat closed at $5.5175/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.5825/bushel, down $0.1575 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soymeal closed at $338.5/short ton, down $...

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Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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