World Perspectives

The Fed’s Upcoming Decision: To Cut or Not to Cut?

The Federal Reserve looks poised to cut interest rates - or does it? This depends upon whether you consider what the Fed says it looks at – inflation and job growth – or read the minutes of its last meeting. Of course, the decision is catalyzed by the president’s jawboning the central bank to ease up on interest rates. On one hand, the economic data reports from this week would normally inspire the Fed to be more hawkish or, at least, stay the course. Consumer prices rose 0.1 percent in June and are up 1.6 percent in the past year. More significantly, the Fed focuses on "core inflation," which is the rate of price increases for sectors other than ag and energy. That rate grew 0.3 percent in June, the highest monthly incre...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day Awaiting New Inputs

There were few fundamental inputs, but today’s agricultural futures markets established new contract lows for corn, SRW and HRS. There was a new contract high for feeder cattle.   The market has received new private sector crop estimates and next comes crop tours and the August...

VAT Versus Trump Tariffs; MAHA Win?

VAT versus Trump Tariffs Most imports into the U.S. will face an average 15 tariff under Trump trade policy. Critics and news reports warned of disastrous impacts that have thus far failed to develop. This may be due to their relative context. Most countries apply tariffs such as the EU’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.0125/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.085/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.845/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day Awaiting New Inputs

There were few fundamental inputs, but today’s agricultural futures markets established new contract lows for corn, SRW and HRS. There was a new contract high for feeder cattle.   The market has received new private sector crop estimates and next comes crop tours and the August...

VAT Versus Trump Tariffs; MAHA Win?

VAT versus Trump Tariffs Most imports into the U.S. will face an average 15 tariff under Trump trade policy. Critics and news reports warned of disastrous impacts that have thus far failed to develop. This may be due to their relative context. Most countries apply tariffs such as the EU’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.0125/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.085/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.845/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pushing Toward New Lows on Bearish Supplies

There was higher volume today trading corn and hogs, and lower volume in the soy complex and SRW.  New contract lows were printed for corn, SRW, and HRW.  Yesterday’s crop progress report reflected potentially stellar crops and yield estimates from private analysts continue to p...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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