World Perspectives

The Future of Loose Fiscal Policy and the Economy

Since the early 2000s, there has been plenty of discussion about whether monetary policy is too loose or too tight given the underlying economic conditions. It continues through today as the Fed tightened monetary policy to reign in inflation after the massive amounts of fiscal policy stimulus that came as a part of COVID recovery. From Q2 2022 to Q3 2023, interest rates increased by a total of 525 basis points, but inflation has remained “sticky” into 2024. That brings up another perhaps more pertinent topic of discussion: “loose” fiscal policy, i.e. large deficits. At the end of 2023, the current federal deficit was 6.3 percent of GDP, down from the COVID peak of 14.7 percent, but still the highest since the Great...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipment for December 6-12, 2024.Wheat: Net sales of 457,900 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up 58 percent from the previous week and 16 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 405,700 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 49 percent from th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soy Complex Posts Reversal; Wheat Hits New Lows as Dollar Surges

The CBOT reversed much of its recent weakness on Thursday with technical trade and “bottom picking” emerging in the soy complex. The soy complex was not oversold technically, but with values sitting on or near major support levels, many traders figured this was the time to take short risk off t...

Farm Aid Revived; New Economy versus Old; UPF Discussion

Farm Aid RevivedThe latest Monthly Monitor of agricultural economists showed that 56 percent believe the sector is already in a recession and a whopping 81 percent believe it is on the brink of a recession. The government’s stopgap bill to keep the government funded through March included $10 b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipment for December 6-12, 2024.Wheat: Net sales of 457,900 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up 58 percent from the previous week and 16 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 405,700 MT were up noticeably from the previous week and up 49 percent from th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Soy Complex Posts Reversal; Wheat Hits New Lows as Dollar Surges

The CBOT reversed much of its recent weakness on Thursday with technical trade and “bottom picking” emerging in the soy complex. The soy complex was not oversold technically, but with values sitting on or near major support levels, many traders figured this was the time to take short risk off t...

Farm Aid Revived; New Economy versus Old; UPF Discussion

Farm Aid RevivedThe latest Monthly Monitor of agricultural economists showed that 56 percent believe the sector is already in a recession and a whopping 81 percent believe it is on the brink of a recession. The government’s stopgap bill to keep the government funded through March included $10 b...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.4075/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.33/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.63/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $291/short ton, up $4.9 from yeste...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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