World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Updated: The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

Errata: The original version of this article incorrectly state the January 2018 soybean yield estimate at 50.6 BPA, instead of the true February (which made up for the delayed January report) estimate of 51.6 BPA. All statistics related to this yield estimate and charts/tables have been corrected below. USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estimates relative to historical patterns. For this analysis, WPI uses the USDA’s yield, harvested acreage, and production forecasts as published in th...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes

Agricultural futures were mixed today with generally higher volume except in soybeans and corn. Traders were cautious not to get out ahead of their skis given the historical propensity for USDA’s January WASDE report to contain curve balls (see below). New sales of soybeans to China made...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: 2025 Dietary Guidelines, Meat is Back

The USDA and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recently released the 2025 Dietary Guidelines for Americans (DGA). The headline developments were a direct reversal of the 2015 guidelines, which were the first to not include a recommendation to consume meat based in part on sustai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Volume, Mixed Outcomes

Agricultural futures were mixed today with generally higher volume except in soybeans and corn. Traders were cautious not to get out ahead of their skis given the historical propensity for USDA’s January WASDE report to contain curve balls (see below). New sales of soybeans to China made...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.46/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.18/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.6125/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $303.6/short ton, down $1.8 from...

livestock

Livestock Round Up: 2025 Dietary Guidelines, Meat is Back

The USDA and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) recently released the 2025 Dietary Guidelines for Americans (DGA). The headline developments were a direct reversal of the 2015 guidelines, which were the first to not include a recommendation to consume meat based in part on sustai...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Oilseed Demand Slumps while Vegoils Rise

The Market  With just two days left before the January WASDE, the soy complex is trading above week-ago levels, but that fact belies the weakness that has enveloped the market since late November. Skepticism over China’s long-term commitment to U.S. soybean purchases – especial...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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