World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Updated: The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

Errata: The original version of this article incorrectly state the January 2018 soybean yield estimate at 50.6 BPA, instead of the true February (which made up for the delayed January report) estimate of 51.6 BPA. All statistics related to this yield estimate and charts/tables have been corrected below. USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estimates relative to historical patterns. For this analysis, WPI uses the USDA’s yield, harvested acreage, and production forecasts as published in th...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SCOTUS Ruling, South America Weather Send CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Monday, with the back-and-forth action of the Supreme Court and President Trump regarding tariffs on foreign imports driving volatility. For the ag markets, the biggest impact of the SCOTUS ruling seems to be doubts that China will adhere to its soybean purchase plan, a...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

Tariff Confusion Fun Reactions to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that general use of tariffs is not within the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have been wildly diverse. Mass media headlines initially celebrated the “smack do...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.275/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4975/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $312.5/short ton, down $1.3 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: SCOTUS Ruling, South America Weather Send CBOT Lower

The CBOT turned lower on Monday, with the back-and-forth action of the Supreme Court and President Trump regarding tariffs on foreign imports driving volatility. For the ag markets, the biggest impact of the SCOTUS ruling seems to be doubts that China will adhere to its soybean purchase plan, a...

Tariff Confusion Fun; Practical Judgements and Threats to Food; Glypho Confusion; Food Inflation

Tariff Confusion Fun Reactions to the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling that general use of tariffs is not within the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) have been wildly diverse. Mass media headlines initially celebrated the “smack do...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.275/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soybeans closed at $11.4975/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  May 26 Soymeal closed at $312.5/short ton, down $1.3 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Rains finally arrived across much of Argentina’s agricultural region, halting the crop deterioration seen in recent weeks. The core corn and soybean region benefited most, with some areas receiving up to 100 mm. However, localized damage from excess moisture, wind and hail affected a...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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