World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Updated: The Historic Context for January WASDE Yield Surprises

Errata: The original version of this article incorrectly state the January 2018 soybean yield estimate at 50.6 BPA, instead of the true February (which made up for the delayed January report) estimate of 51.6 BPA. All statistics related to this yield estimate and charts/tables have been corrected below. USDA surprised the commodity markets on Friday with bullish adjustments to the U.S. corn and soybean balance sheets, particularly the unexpected reductions in yields for both commodities. The surprise created by the latest balance sheet makes it worthwhile to evaluate the USDA’s adjusted estimates relative to historical patterns. For this analysis, WPI uses the USDA’s yield, harvested acreage, and production forecasts as published in th...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

New Bridge Payments Restore Profitability

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Happy New Year!

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: January WASDE is the Future

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

New Bridge Payments Restore Profitability

On 31 December the USDA announced the per acre payment rates for the Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA) program for producers hit by the ongoing tariffs.  Cotton and rice will receive the highest payments. On 15 December WPI estimated the upcoming payments, with cotton and rice at the top of t...

Happy New Year!

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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The pre-holiday risk-off, profit-taking mode continued on the last trading day of 2025. Traders closed out the calendar year with the expected low-level enthusiasm. Positions were tidied up with few fresh inputs as the past is the past and the future is now the USDA January WASDE report. ...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4025/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.07/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soybeans closed at $10.475/bushel, down $0.1475 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $299.4/short ton, down $...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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