World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The MY 2018/19 Sleeper Crop

WPI is not alone in pegging corn as the potential “sleeper” crop in MY 2018/19. World corn ending supplies have been edging lower in the past few years, and that decline will gain speed with the sharp drop in Argentine production, a smaller crop in Brazil and increased consumption in China. USDA will release its first estimate of 2018 U.S. corn plantings at the end of this month. WPI believes the planted area could be down 1.7 million acres from last year. That is based on more soybean and spring wheat acres because of price relationships as well as the high cost of planting and producing a corn crop. We are also doubtful that the string of record corn yields can extend another year. The western Corn Belt will enter the spring...

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Wars on Chinese Consumers, EU Farmers, and Foreign Investors; Japanese Challenge

War on Chinese Consumers China’s National Grain & Oil Information Centre (CNGOIC) is honest and forthright as it reported this week that soymeal prices have surged on fears of an escalating U.S.-China trade war. The graphs below document the rise in soybean and soymeal prices. The res...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Summer Weather?

Everyone wants to know what the U.S. growing season will be like in 2018. Analysts with a bearish bent are projecting record corn and soybean yields before the crops have been planted. Those with a bullish bent are saying severe weather and yield problems aren’t needed to reduce ending su...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were lower overnight, and that trend continued into the day session. One word that described today’s market action was weather, which is looking much better across the U.S. than a week ago. It will be warmer and drier, and that means farmers will get the planters rolling. A later...

Wars on Chinese Consumers, EU Farmers, and Foreign Investors; Japanese Challenge

War on Chinese Consumers China’s National Grain & Oil Information Centre (CNGOIC) is honest and forthright as it reported this week that soymeal prices have surged on fears of an escalating U.S.-China trade war. The graphs below document the rise in soybean and soymeal prices. The res...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Summer Weather?

Everyone wants to know what the U.S. growing season will be like in 2018. Analysts with a bearish bent are projecting record corn and soybean yields before the crops have been planted. Those with a bullish bent are saying severe weather and yield problems aren’t needed to reduce ending su...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were lower overnight, and that trend continued into the day session. One word that described today’s market action was weather, which is looking much better across the U.S. than a week ago. It will be warmer and drier, and that means farmers will get the planters rolling. A later...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights. ...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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