The current soybean market is a far cry from what most analysts expected, and we have once again been reminded that it is wise to be wary when there is a near unanimous analytical consensus on long-term market prospects.One reason why commodity markets are so fascinating and even addictive is that the factors that combine to establish values seldom, if ever, go as planned or predicted. This is particularly true for agricultural commodities. Analysts can carefully study production economics and forecast the production volume of various crops as well as the resulting total supply of each crop that will be available. They can consider the economic factors that determine demand with equal care and forecast how much of each crop will be needed...