The outlook for soybeans does continue to appear fundamentally bearish. However, soy complex futures seem reluctant to acknowledge just how bearish the situation seems to be.Consider the following:

The estimated 2013/14 world soybean carryover is a record-large 66 MMT. The U.S. produced a record 3.97 billion bushel (108 MMT) soybean crop for 2014/15. Brazil and Argentina are forecast by WPI to produce record 2014/15 soybean crops of 94.5 MMT and 56 MMT, respectively, putting total 2014/15 South American production at about 160 MMT. Estimated total world soybean production for 2014/15 is 315 MMT, up about 31 MMT from 2013/14. Total world soybean demand for 2014/15 is estimated to be 288.5 MMT, up about 15.5 MMT from 2013/14. Estimate...