World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Thoughts on USDA Ag Outlook Numbers

The USDA’s annual Agricultural Outlook Forum (AOF) featured the agency’s first look at the 2026/27 balance sheet for the major U.S. crops and livestock products. For corn, wheat, and soybeans, this year’s numbers were in line with expectations and did not spark much reaction from the futures market. That is not to say, however, that the agency’s first thoughts do not reveal some interesting insights.  Here, WPI breaks down the USDA’s latest forecasts and offers our updated balance sheet forecasts alongside the agency’s. Briefly, our models agree with USDA’s in terms of the broad direction for corn and soybean balance sheet trends, but ours show larger changes in the same direction. For wheat, W...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly Bullish Except Corn Where Production Will Fall

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Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for February will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.4 percent of a year ago. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.53 million head. The total inventory on feed...

Transportation and Export Report

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly Bullish Except Corn Where Production Will Fall

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Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report for February will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 98.4 percent of a year ago. Those estimates imply an on-feed inventory of 11.53 million head. The total inventory on feed...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef complex margins weakened further in the week ending 14 February 2026, with estimated beef packer net margins sliding to -$270.22/hd (down $22.78/hd week over week) as higher cattle costs continued to outrun product values. The Choice cutout edged up to $365.30/cwt, but fed cattle prices mo...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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