After going to four different grocery stores this past weekend looking for heavy cream and nearly coming up empty handed, it is confirmed that U.S. dairy supplies are tight. USDA initially proclaimed higher prices in 2022 due to larger exports, but those are running even with a year ago. Higher butter and cheese exports are offset by lower milk and nonfat milk powder exports. Overall U.S. dairy production is down one-half percent, but demand is strong. Meanwhile, Australia’s dairy production and exports have rebounded from last year’s drought.  Diary-based food inflation hit 15.9 percent in September, versus 13 percent overall for food. U.S. dairy production in 2023 is forecast to rise while fat-based exports decline and s...