World Perspectives
softs

Too Big; Uncertainty; Sweet Revenues

A Chicago Booth survey of leading economists found that expertise caused both an increase and a decrease in certainty about the actual value of breaking up the big banks. In short, consolidation is a complicated subject. Too Big to Succeed WPI has noted in the past that banks have become bigger at the same time policy makers and activists have decried consolidation in the agricultural sector. Now some U.S. presidential candidates have campaigned on the need to break up big banks, so it is interesting to note the perspective of economic experts on this subject. After all, like the general public, politicians are greatly subject to the Dunning Kruger effect in which confidence about a policy choice is strongest when knowledge is least, and...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Falls, Soyoil Rallies on Trump Tariff Plans; Hogs Hit New Highs

News from Washington continued to be the primary driver of CBOT price action again on Tuesday, with most of the day’s action coming from plans for new import tariffs from President-elect Trump. The other news from Washington is the USDA APHIS’ ban on live cattle imports from Mexico, due to the...

Channeling Hamilton; Gastronationalism Gone Awry; Science Reverts to Nonpartisan; Black Friday Deals

Channeling HamiltonAlexander Hamilton, the first U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, encouraged the Tariff Act of 1789, the Tariff Act of 1790, and the Tariff Act of 1792. He used tariffs to fund the government and protect domestic industries from British exports. President-elect Trump has pledged...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.2/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.58/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $4.5 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Falls, Soyoil Rallies on Trump Tariff Plans; Hogs Hit New Highs

News from Washington continued to be the primary driver of CBOT price action again on Tuesday, with most of the day’s action coming from plans for new import tariffs from President-elect Trump. The other news from Washington is the USDA APHIS’ ban on live cattle imports from Mexico, due to the...

Channeling Hamilton; Gastronationalism Gone Awry; Science Reverts to Nonpartisan; Black Friday Deals

Channeling HamiltonAlexander Hamilton, the first U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, encouraged the Tariff Act of 1789, the Tariff Act of 1790, and the Tariff Act of 1792. He used tariffs to fund the government and protect domestic industries from British exports. President-elect Trump has pledged...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 24 Corn closed at $4.2/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.58/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soybeans closed at $9.835/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close. Jan 25 Soymeal closed at $291.4/short ton, down $4.5 from...

energy

Energy Outlook

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its short-term energy outlook (STEO) earlier this month, with outlooks for crude oil, natural gas, and propane. The price outlook is for lower crude prices, higher for natural gas, and flat for propane in the Midwest, and slightly lower...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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