The effort by organized labor against TPA is unprecedented, and the inclination is to bet against the bill passing except that it has such horrible implications for geopolitical reasons and for Barack Obama.The airwaves are bombarded with claims and counterclaims as to whether Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) will pass the U.S. House this month. One publication describes the situation as being like a football game at half-time and says "it is anyone's game." House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-California) told a meeting of pro-TPA lobbyists today that the bill will pass the House this month. Of course, the House Republican leadership claimed in 2013 that the farm bill would pass, but it failed 195-234 with 61 Republicans voting against i...