World Perspectives

U.S. Ag Trade Deficit and Meat Outlook

According to USDA’s latest agricultural trade data, the overall ag trade balance in March was negative. The U.S. ran a trade deficit of $502 million for the month, based on exports of $11.885 billion and imports of $12.386 billion. It is only the sixth time in the past 63 months, but second time in 2020 and the fourth time in the past 12 months. The trade data come at a particularly significant time as there are commodity surpluses in the U.S., exacerbated by the COVID-19 situation, but also looming food shortages particularly in the protein sector. A number of major retailers are moving to place limits on consumers’ purchases of beef, pork, and poultry, and Brazilian and Australian packers are eyeing the retail shortages as...

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livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

Beef packer margins reversed sharply lower last week, swinging back into negative territory after six straight weeks of positive returns. Margins fell $145/head to –$75 as fed cattle prices rebounded $7/cwt (live basis), while the Choice cutout slipped nearly $7/cwt. The rapid compression...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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