World Perspectives
wheat

U.S. and World Wheat Production Growing Smaller

We’ve been updating our ideas on U.S. wheat production over each of the past few months, and the primary reason for doing this so early in the season is that a severe drought has encased the southern Plains since early last fall. It has not abated and instead worsened. Despite the obvious results of this, market analysts have continued to forecast average or, in some cases, above-average hard red winter wheat yields. 37 percent of the total U.S. winter wheat crop was rated poor to very poor as of last Monday’s report, and 50 percent of the Kansas crop is rated poor to very poor. This week’s Kansas crop tour released a production estimate of 243 million bushels for the state, down from 334 million bushels in 2017, but not...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Calm for the Day but Geopolitics Hint at Looming Volatility

The CBOT was solidly in the red on Wednesday while cattle futures regained some of their former strength. Markets had to process multiple headlines at the national/international political level, which led to some mild risk-off trade. Mostly, however, for grains, the looming WASDE dominated the...

Wheat from the Chaff; Europe Gets Squeezed

Wheat from the Chaff An agricultural meeting in Arkansas last week drew 400 to 500 farmers, a much larger group than expected at harvest time. They vented their angst over low commodity prices, high input costs, and consequently low profitability. One estimate from bankers is that farm bankrupt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.17/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.15/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.8/short ton, down $3.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Calm for the Day but Geopolitics Hint at Looming Volatility

The CBOT was solidly in the red on Wednesday while cattle futures regained some of their former strength. Markets had to process multiple headlines at the national/international political level, which led to some mild risk-off trade. Mostly, however, for grains, the looming WASDE dominated the...

Wheat from the Chaff; Europe Gets Squeezed

Wheat from the Chaff An agricultural meeting in Arkansas last week drew 400 to 500 farmers, a much larger group than expected at harvest time. They vented their angst over low commodity prices, high input costs, and consequently low profitability. One estimate from bankers is that farm bankrupt...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.17/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.15/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.8/short ton, down $3.2...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market: 1–5 September 2025 Bearish sentiments prevailed across both the European and Asian parts of Russia. The market is under pressure as stocks and yields are better than expected especially in Volga Valley and Black Soil region. Siberia and Urals harvesting campaign is...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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