World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

The recent strength in U.S. soyoil and soymeal prices has helped push “board” crush margin (i.e., the margin implied or calculated by CBOT futures contracts) to new highs with the VVX margin hitting $1.62/bushel and the HHH margins topping the $1.45 mark for the first time in over a year. The recent surge follows historically strong margins that have persisted for most of MY 2023/24. The profitability offered by the crush margin has been one major factor driving the record-high soybean crush program this year.  The U.S. soybean crush now accounts for about 54 percent of the total annual use, making examination of processing margins and how they will drive the crush sector’s demand germane for soybean demand and pri...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Sell The Fact Trade Drives Turnaround Tuesday

The big news in commodity markets Tuesday was USDA’s confirmation that China purchased nearly 800 KMT of soybeans from the U.S. on Monday. That news was corroborated by news stories saying China booked over 20 cargoes from the PNW and Gulf with basis levels rising in both locations as if...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3675/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.59/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.535/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $327/short ton, down $3.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt’s Suez Canal revenue is reportedly up by 14.2 percent in the last four months due to “calmer conditions” in the Red Sea. Vessels using the canal during that period were at 4,405 with total cargo at 167.6 MM...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Sell The Fact Trade Drives Turnaround Tuesday

The big news in commodity markets Tuesday was USDA’s confirmation that China purchased nearly 800 KMT of soybeans from the U.S. on Monday. That news was corroborated by news stories saying China booked over 20 cargoes from the PNW and Gulf with basis levels rising in both locations as if...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3675/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.59/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.535/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $327/short ton, down $3.8 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Egypt’s Suez Canal revenue is reportedly up by 14.2 percent in the last four months due to “calmer conditions” in the Red Sea. Vessels using the canal during that period were at 4,405 with total cargo at 167.6 MM...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bulls Win Post-WASDE Standoff

Monday’s CBOT trade quickly erased any hints of weakness that emerged during Friday’s post-WASDE selloff. The WASDE itself was – in WPI’s view – either bearish or neutral the major commodities, but futures didn’t see it that way on Monday. The soybean and soy...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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