World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

The recent strength in U.S. soyoil and soymeal prices has helped push “board” crush margin (i.e., the margin implied or calculated by CBOT futures contracts) to new highs with the VVX margin hitting $1.62/bushel and the HHH margins topping the $1.45 mark for the first time in over a year. The recent surge follows historically strong margins that have persisted for most of MY 2023/24. The profitability offered by the crush margin has been one major factor driving the record-high soybean crush program this year.  The U.S. soybean crush now accounts for about 54 percent of the total annual use, making examination of processing margins and how they will drive the crush sector’s demand germane for soybean demand and pri...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest progressed by 11.5 percent during the week, lifting completion to 45 percent of the harvestable area. Fieldwork moved across the central agricultural region at a normal pace, with yields continuing to surpass historical averages. Most of the remaining standing area was either dryi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Cattle are Hot Again, Grain Not so Much

Despite assurances from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and the announcement this morning of nearly a half million tons of new soybean sales to China, the trade just doesn’t see the plausibility of a full 12 MMT of beans being bought near-term by Beijing. Particularly not when commitment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4475/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3575/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.0525/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $307.4/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

WHEAT Harvest progressed by 11.5 percent during the week, lifting completion to 45 percent of the harvestable area. Fieldwork moved across the central agricultural region at a normal pace, with yields continuing to surpass historical averages. Most of the remaining standing area was either dryi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Cattle are Hot Again, Grain Not so Much

Despite assurances from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and the announcement this morning of nearly a half million tons of new soybean sales to China, the trade just doesn’t see the plausibility of a full 12 MMT of beans being bought near-term by Beijing. Particularly not when commitment...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4475/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.3575/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.0525/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $307.4/short ton, down...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

2026 Acreage Outlook: Expected Crop Shifts Diminishing

WPI’s second fall acreage forecasts for the 2026 U.S. crop year show producers executing a mild expansion of soybean acres that will not quite offset corn area losses while simultaneously reducing wheat area. Producers are also expected to keep minor crop acreage essentially unchanged, wh...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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