World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

U.S. Soybean Crush Margin Outlook

The recent strength in U.S. soyoil and soymeal prices has helped push “board” crush margin (i.e., the margin implied or calculated by CBOT futures contracts) to new highs with the VVX margin hitting $1.62/bushel and the HHH margins topping the $1.45 mark for the first time in over a year. The recent surge follows historically strong margins that have persisted for most of MY 2023/24. The profitability offered by the crush margin has been one major factor driving the record-high soybean crush program this year.  The U.S. soybean crush now accounts for about 54 percent of the total annual use, making examination of processing margins and how they will drive the crush sector’s demand germane for soybean demand and pri...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

Tariff and Macro Policy Change Announcements Coming

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said today that the U.S. is readying an announcement to exempt a number of food and agricultural products not produced in the United States from tariffs. The announcement comes after the President mentioned coffee prices as being high, saying that the U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3025/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2725/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $11.245/bushel, down $0.225 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $322.5/short ton, down $...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Excitement; Over-Reaction, Under-Reaction

Like Lord Tennyson’s troops lined up in the Crimean War, sometimes we are just fodder in the commodity markets. After 40 days and 40 nights of withdrawal from government data reports, we watched as the momentum built for today’s noon EST release of USDA November WASDE report. In the...

Tariff and Macro Policy Change Announcements Coming

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said today that the U.S. is readying an announcement to exempt a number of food and agricultural products not produced in the United States from tariffs. The announcement comes after the President mentioned coffee prices as being high, saying that the U...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry-bulk markets were higher last week amid improved freight inquiries, tightening tonnage lists, and traders hoping for increased grain business in late November and early December. Despite hopes to the contrary, there has been essentially no confirmation of any U.S. grain export business to C...

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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