World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

U.S. Soybean Outlook

We note that every year at this time we have looked at projections for rapidly building soybean ending supplies in the U.S. that have yet to materialize, either because of lower yields or increased demand.The soybean market continues its push to new highs despite all the pleading from the bears that it must go down. Tightness in old crop U.S. soybean supplies persists even as the import forecast has been nearly doubled from historical levels. Demand simply has not abated, notwithstanding higher prices. Last week's National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) crush numbers slowed the largest March soybean crush since 2001. The meal demand is driving the big crush numbers. It is likely USDA will have to trim the ending supply projection aga...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money shifting into a slightly more bearish stance in the ag space as they added 25,490 contacts (37 percent) to their small net short across all ag futures last week. The more bearish positioning is surprising given the strength in futures that prevail...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2775/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3575/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.8/short ton, up $5.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly a Green Finish of a Bullish Week

The market was green across the board in grain and oilseed in the overnight and mostly finished that way in the day session except for soyoil, where profit taking prevailed. It seemed like a hot week for soyoil but after today’s session, it turned out to be corn that had the better week.&...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money shifting into a slightly more bearish stance in the ag space as they added 25,490 contacts (37 percent) to their small net short across all ag futures last week. The more bearish positioning is surprising given the strength in futures that prevail...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2775/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.3575/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.8/short ton, up $5.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mostly a Green Finish of a Bullish Week

The market was green across the board in grain and oilseed in the overnight and mostly finished that way in the day session except for soyoil, where profit taking prevailed. It seemed like a hot week for soyoil but after today’s session, it turned out to be corn that had the better week.&...

Strong Retail Sales Report and Inflation Outlook

The June retail sales report beat consensus expectations, rising 0.6 percent. Moreover, it was a strong report, with 10 out of 13 of the sales categories increasing. The largest increase was in the auto sector, a traditionally volatile category. June sales were up 1.2 percent, which came after...

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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