World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds farm-inputs

U.S. Soybean Outlook

We note that every year at this time we have looked at projections for rapidly building soybean ending supplies in the U.S. that have yet to materialize, either because of lower yields or increased demand.The soybean market continues its push to new highs despite all the pleading from the bears that it must go down. Tightness in old crop U.S. soybean supplies persists even as the import forecast has been nearly doubled from historical levels. Demand simply has not abated, notwithstanding higher prices. Last week's National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) crush numbers slowed the largest March soybean crush since 2001. The meal demand is driving the big crush numbers. It is likely USDA will have to trim the ending supply projection aga...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Drives CBOT as Markets Eye Yields, First Notice Day

Friday’s market fireworks faded a bit on Monday as traders took the opportunity to rest and reassess fundamentals. There were no particularly big news items over the weekend to drive a big swing in markets, which meant that a lull was almost bound to follow last week’s large moves i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1225/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4775/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.9/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced only 1.3 percent this week, reaching 96 percent complete nationwide. The final stretch is always slower, and this year the harvest could extend into September as recent rains further delay fieldwork in Buenos Aires province. Farmer selling has...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Technical Trade Drives CBOT as Markets Eye Yields, First Notice Day

Friday’s market fireworks faded a bit on Monday as traders took the opportunity to rest and reassess fundamentals. There were no particularly big news items over the weekend to drive a big swing in markets, which meant that a lull was almost bound to follow last week’s large moves i...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1225/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4775/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $290.9/short ton, down $0...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn  Argentina’s corn harvest advanced only 1.3 percent this week, reaching 96 percent complete nationwide. The final stretch is always slower, and this year the harvest could extend into September as recent rains further delay fieldwork in Buenos Aires province. Farmer selling has...

Protectionists’ Spin; Transatlantic Spin; India’s New Bed

Protectionists’ Spin U.S. President Donald Trump is vilified for statements that his critics say are blatantly untrue, but he is not alone in trying to frame messages to his favor. This past weekend, China’s Ambassador to the U.S. Xie Feng said that "It goes without saying that [Ame...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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