World Perspectives
wheat

Volatile Wheat Suppliers

The FAS attache in Canberra expects Australia’s wheat production to fall by 25 percent in 2023/24. This follows three years of record sized crops. Lower prices and drier conditions are the cause. Of the six major wheat exporters, Australia has the highest variation in its production and exports. This is thought to be caused in part by susceptibility to El Niño weather events. The outsized rains of higher world prices of the past couple of years encouraged Australian farmers to plant almost a third more area to wheat in 2022/23 than they did in 2019/20. This year, Russia supplied nearly 27 percent of the wheat traded by the world’s top exporters. However, a caution to importers is that Russia has the second highest volati...

Related Articles
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for May 16-22, 2025. Wheat: Net sales reductions of 128,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up noticeably from the previous week, but down noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 501,200 MT were up 14 percent from the previous week and 12 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $296.3/short ton, down $0.1 from yest...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Rule Mostly; Rain and Sunshine Make Grain

Wheat and pigs were the day’s winners, with much of the rest of the contracts bleeding red. President Trump’s war of words with China added some negative energy on the day. It was similar for the week with HRS and hogs adding value, and soymeal higher by a miniscule fraction, but th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for May 16-22, 2025. Wheat: Net sales reductions of 128,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up noticeably from the previous week, but down noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 501,200 MT were up 14 percent from the previous week and 12 per...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4175/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $296.3/short ton, down $0.1 from yest...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears Rule Mostly; Rain and Sunshine Make Grain

Wheat and pigs were the day’s winners, with much of the rest of the contracts bleeding red. President Trump’s war of words with China added some negative energy on the day. It was similar for the week with HRS and hogs adding value, and soymeal higher by a miniscule fraction, but th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Challenging Analogues

Drew Lerner at World Weather, Inc. makes an interesting analogy between U.S. weather this spring, and that of 1968. Both this year and 1968 involved recovery from peak solar activity (sunspots) and neutral ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) conditions.  He looked at seven previous...

Image
From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up