World Perspectives

War into 2021; Trade Untruths

War into 2021 The Vietnam War lasted 17 years and four months, and the war in Afghanistan now exceeds that length. The U.S.–China trade war is not expected to be that drawn out, but the lack of any progress from this week’s negotiations along with President Trump’s remark that there could be “no deal at all” implies Beijing is willing to wait until after the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The Chinese characterization of the bilateral meeting this week as “candid, efficient” is hardly optimistic. China’s manufacturing is contracting, and Mr. Trump could impose additional tariffs but risks more damage to U.S. agriculture. His compensation payments to farmers will already be hitting the WTO l...

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Market Commentary: Mixed Day Awaiting New Inputs

There were few fundamental inputs, but today’s agricultural futures markets established new contract lows for corn, SRW and HRS. There was a new contract high for feeder cattle.   The market has received new private sector crop estimates and next comes crop tours and the August...

VAT Versus Trump Tariffs; MAHA Win?

VAT versus Trump Tariffs Most imports into the U.S. will face an average 15 tariff under Trump trade policy. Critics and news reports warned of disastrous impacts that have thus far failed to develop. This may be due to their relative context. Most countries apply tariffs such as the EU’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.0125/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.085/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.845/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day Awaiting New Inputs

There were few fundamental inputs, but today’s agricultural futures markets established new contract lows for corn, SRW and HRS. There was a new contract high for feeder cattle.   The market has received new private sector crop estimates and next comes crop tours and the August...

VAT Versus Trump Tariffs; MAHA Win?

VAT versus Trump Tariffs Most imports into the U.S. will face an average 15 tariff under Trump trade policy. Critics and news reports warned of disastrous impacts that have thus far failed to develop. This may be due to their relative context. Most countries apply tariffs such as the EU’s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.0125/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.085/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $9.845/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $281.3/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Pushing Toward New Lows on Bearish Supplies

There was higher volume today trading corn and hogs, and lower volume in the soy complex and SRW.  New contract lows were printed for corn, SRW, and HRW.  Yesterday’s crop progress report reflected potentially stellar crops and yield estimates from private analysts continue to p...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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