USDA’s August WASDE outlook for 2026/27 U.S. corn is basically for unchanged production as an increased acreage estimate offset a lower yield forecast. Reduced beginning stocks and increased corn exports reduced the estimated ending stocks of U.S. corn to 1.7 billion bushels. The seasonal-average farm price of corn increased $0.10 per bushel to $4.50. USDA’s estimate for global corn stocks was reduced slightly, by 0.6 million tons, to 274.7 million. ...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Macro: Relief Meets Reality July’s CPI report matched expectations. Headline inflation eased to 3.4 percent year over year, while core inflation declined to 2.5 percent. On a monthly basis, headline CPI rose 0.1 percent and core increased 0.2 percent. Equities and the U.S. dollar traded h...