World Perspectives
wheat

WASDE Wheat

The outlook for 2018/19 U.S. wheat in October is larger supplies, reduced domestic use, unchanged exports, and higher ending stocks. Wheat production is raised 7 million bushels to 1,884 million from the NASS Small Grains Summary, issued on September 28. Projected imports increased 5 million bushels to 140 million on higher than-expected imports of spring wheat and Durum in the first quarter (June-August). The farm price range is unchanged at the midpoint of $5.10 per bushel. Global 2018/19 wheat supplies are reduced, primarily on lower production forecasts for Australia and Russia. Global ending stocks are reduced 1.1 million tons to 260.2 million, down 5 percent from last year’s record.  ...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Friday and an Upward Bound Week

If yesterday’s trading looked like uncertainty ultimately succumbing to the bulls, today’s trading opened with the bears fully in charge. Contracts opened lower and mostly stayed that way until late morning when there appeared to be an epiphany with the bulls and they took charge. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5725/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.7/short ton, down $1.4 fro...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bearish the major ag markets, last week with steady net selling across the grains and oilseed complex. Funds expanded their net short position across all ags by roughly 4.7 times last week and now hold a meaningful pos...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Strong Friday and an Upward Bound Week

If yesterday’s trading looked like uncertainty ultimately succumbing to the bulls, today’s trading opened with the bears fully in charge. Contracts opened lower and mostly stayed that way until late morning when there appeared to be an epiphany with the bulls and they took charge. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, up $0.0925 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.5725/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $295.7/short ton, down $1.4 fro...

Beyond the Report Headlines: Measuring Trump’s Effects

The BLS released the employment report this morning indicating that the U.S. added 139,000 jobs in May, down slightly from April’s revised 147,000, but slightly above pre-report forecasts of 126,000. However, payrolls were revised downward an unusually large 95,000 for the prior two month...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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