Four months ago, there were quite a few complaints about the lack of market volatility. Has this glum outlook really changed for the better? Obviously, the answer is yes, but how much better and for how long are questions still to be answered.Four months ago, quite a few people involved in grain, oilseed, cash and derivative markets were complaining about the lack of market volatility, which was being flattened by large supplies and prospects that they might grow even larger. There were many days when the spot corn futures contract traded in just a 4 cent range or less. Cash markets were equally discouraging. Lulled by the large supplies of grain and soybeans, end users saw no need to extend their coverage beyond hand-to-mouth with the resu...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and both the markets and our office will be closed. Please note that the next issue of Ag Perspectives will be published on Tuesday, 26 May. The WPI staff wishes everyone a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend...
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. The total number of cattle on feed in feedlots with 1,000 head or more capacity amounted to 11.6 million head, 102 percent of last year. Source: USDA, WPI Placements were up, but part of that is attributable to persistent drought c...