World Perspectives
wheat

What USDA Didn’t Say

This week’s WASDE report from USDA was considered slightly bullish for prices, although that certainly wasn’t apparent by the market’s action during the past few trading sessions. U.S. corn and soybean ending supplies were reduced. World demand remains very strong, but crop problems stretching from the Black Sea to Australia are causing world production to slip. The one aspect of the report that has raised questions is the U.S. winter wheat production estimate, and June can be a difficult month for assessing that crop. Many of the variables at play will be resolved by the time of the July report, however. Chief among these is the “harvested” acreage number, which is critical to any final production estimate. T...

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Market Commentary: Ags Sink on Risk-Off Day Despite Weaker Dollar

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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The CBOT was higher overnight as the U.S. dollar fell to a three-year low, but the day session saw the major ag market slip lower and end in the red with pressure from macroeconomic markets increasing. In addition to sparking trade wars with nearly every major U.S. trading partner, U.S. Preside...

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May 25 Corn closed at $4.8175/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.385/bushel, down $0.1025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.295/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $292.9/short ton, down $2...

Barriers are Good; Squeezed in the Trade War; Calculating the Impacts; Tax is a Tax

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina Macroeconomic Updates Argentina saw a shortened trading week, with no markets last Thursday and Friday. It was also the first week of trading under the new exchange rate regulations, so it took the markets a few days to adjust. Regarding the official exchange rate, it opened on Monday...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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