World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Market Tightening

The wheat market is tightening as production cuts are hitting France, Russia and Ukraine, plus there has been an increase in tenders. Exports by France are expected to be 7.75 MMT, a 43 percent reduction from 2019/20. Meanwhile, Russia's IKAR reduced its estimate for the Russian wheat crop by 1.5 MMT to a total of 78 MMT due to lower yields in the southern and central regions of the country.   Black Sea wheat may have been sold too cheaply and prices now need to adjust for the shorter supply. Wheat prices in the region had slid 14 percent in the weeks preceding the lower realized output. Meanwhile, U.S. wheat prices have been falling on new crop prospects, perceived large global supplies, and the need to become more competitive.&...

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Market Commentary: The Tempo not the Quantum

Everyone knows the volume traded this week will be lower, but there is no break in the directional adjustments. The corn market still had to continue its march higher, worries about wheat supplies moving out of Ukraine and even volume was not totally lower with soymeal and lean hog trading keep...

livestock

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. The inventory of all hogs and pigs on 1 December was 75.5 million head, up 1 percent from December 2024, and up slightly from 1 September 2025.  Breeding inventory, at 5.95 million head, was down 1 percent from last year and up sligh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.475/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.17/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.515/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $304.2/short ton, up $2.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Tempo not the Quantum

Everyone knows the volume traded this week will be lower, but there is no break in the directional adjustments. The corn market still had to continue its march higher, worries about wheat supplies moving out of Ukraine and even volume was not totally lower with soymeal and lean hog trading keep...

livestock

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Report

USDA released its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. The inventory of all hogs and pigs on 1 December was 75.5 million head, up 1 percent from December 2024, and up slightly from 1 September 2025.  Breeding inventory, at 5.95 million head, was down 1 percent from last year and up sligh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.475/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.17/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.515/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Soymeal closed at $304.2/short ton, up $2.3 from...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s latest attacks on Ukraine’s Odesa Black Sea port infrastructure on 23 December reportedly damaged a vessel carrying Ukrainian soybeans.   The EU Commission raised its forecast of EU common wheat production to 134.4 MMT for 2025/26 and bumped th...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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