World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Rediscovered

Noncommercial managed funds have held a large short position in wheat futures, mainly Chicago (SRW), in what seems like forever. The fund long position in wheat was estimated to be about 125,000 contracts at last count. Being short wheat futures for the long haul has been easy to rationalize. World wheat production has set a new record in each of the last several years and has grown notably faster than world use, which has resulted in ending world wheat stocks having their own string of new records. USDA’s latest estimate for those 2017/18 ending stocks is 268.4 MMT or 36 percent of use. U.S. wheat production has decreased more than 25 percent in the last three years, but estimated ending U.S. wheat stocks are still around the 1-billi...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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