World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat to Remain Tight

The current tight global wheat market is a dynamic that is here to stay. For the most recent five years, global wheat consumption has increased by 7 percent and world trade in wheat has grown by 18.4 percent to keep up with it. Meanwhile, the global area harvested for wheat has only increased by 2.9 percent and average global yield by just 4.4 percent. There is not a lot of area suitable for expanding wheat production. Of the big producing countries, only Australia has added any meaningful area, up 27 percent from 10.4 to 13.2 million hectares. And Brazil, one of the smaller producers, has increased area by 60 percent to 3.20 Mha. However, most producing countries are basically flat for these important metrics. A boost in yield will requir...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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