Last Friday we updated our view of the tightening world wheat situation and how that will eventually force the wheat market to rally. It was noted in different market commentaries this morning that wheat prices in Australia have been steadily separating themselves from world prices. The result of that, of course, will be even smaller wheat exports from Australia than we forecast last Friday. Eastern Australia has a major shortage of feed supplies because of the drought, and that will force wheat from West Australia, the country’s primary export source for this commodity, to move to that region. Keep in mind that Australia’s barley crop has also been severely affected by the drought, and those supplies were tightening beforehand...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The corn and soybean markets closed slightly higher in low-volume trade. The wheat market was mixed, with HRW continuing its downward trek on improved moisture. As expected, the bearish cattle on feed report drove down cattle prices and pulled hogs down with it. Mi...
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and both the markets and our office will be closed. Please note that the next issue of Ag Perspectives will be published on Tuesday, 26 May. The WPI staff wishes everyone a safe and enjoyable holiday weekend...