World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Volatility

ABARE announced that Australian wheat production will jump in one year a whopping 120 percent to 33.3 MMT based on higher yields. Such annual volatility in wheat output is not unusual for Australia where, like Argentina, the El Nino/La Nina weather cycle can greatly impact agriculture. Even using USDA’s more conservative output number, Australia’s wheat crop will be nearly 100 percent larger this year versus last.  Russia has historically incurred soil moisture maintenance challenges, but its annual changes have been relatively modest. The world’s breadbasket has, however, seen its wheat output increase 126 percent over the past five years. The EU has been very stable with a 26.7 percent jump in wheat production in 1...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.22/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.315/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $282.5/short ton, down $1.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Malaise and Yield Expectations Turn CBOT Lower

The CBOT was almost entirely lower across the major ag markets on Wednesday with large supply expectations for the 2025 Northern Hemisphere grain and oilseed crops driving the weakness. More crop tours in the U.S. confirm large corn yields and high soybean pod counts/yield potential, while the...

Prop 12 Counterattack; Assault on International Organizations; Japan on Point

Prop 12 Counterattack To the great disappointment of key parts of the U.S. agriculture sector, the Supreme Court ruled earlier this year that California’s Prop 12 is constitutional, and that the state can establish its own rules on meat sold in the state regardless of its origin. The sect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.18/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.22/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.315/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $282.5/short ton, down $1.3 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macro Malaise and Yield Expectations Turn CBOT Lower

The CBOT was almost entirely lower across the major ag markets on Wednesday with large supply expectations for the 2025 Northern Hemisphere grain and oilseed crops driving the weakness. More crop tours in the U.S. confirm large corn yields and high soybean pod counts/yield potential, while the...

Prop 12 Counterattack; Assault on International Organizations; Japan on Point

Prop 12 Counterattack To the great disappointment of key parts of the U.S. agriculture sector, the Supreme Court ruled earlier this year that California’s Prop 12 is constitutional, and that the state can establish its own rules on meat sold in the state regardless of its origin. The sect...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grains Market: 25 – 29 August 2025 Bearish sentiments prevail on the Russian market. Most likely the bottom price levels are near for most of the grains except corn whose season started in September. Bearish trend is a tradition for this part of the season as harvesting is un...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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