Historically small wheat acreage should result in sharply reduced production, which would seem likely to help lower burdensome wheat supplies for 2017/18. However, the outlook for shrinking the U.S. wheat surplus may not be as good as one might think.USDA’s estimates of U.S. stocks of grains and soybeans as of 1 September will be released 30 September. Its quarterly stocks estimates are always important because they provide a measure of the rate at which available supplies are being used up. The estimated stocks of U.S. corn and soybeans as of 1 September have the added importance of being the preceding crop year’s ending stocks, the statistical anchor for supply/demand analyses for the new crop year.Although subject to less attention, USDA...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
Key Takeaways: Dry bulk markets remain mixed with Capesize vessels seeing continued pressure from weaker demand while fixtures and rate strength gradually increases towards the smaller vessel classes. Tanker markets are pulling back from their recent highs as tonnage moves out of the Mid...
The Trump import plan for 300,000 MT of beef supplies used for ground beef, i.e., lean trim, from September through November has, according to Secretary Brooke Rollins, brought some relief to beef prices. The Executive Order states that the Secretary of Agriculture will analyze and review the m...
Key Takeaways: Texas illustrates the assumptions underlying the 2025 FMMO reform; Idaho exposes their limitations. The Southwest order blend (roughly 27 percent Class I, 32 percent Class III and 31 percent Class IV) exposes Texas producers to every lever USDA adjusted, with a near-neutral proj...