World Perspectives
wheat

When Price is a Poor Indicator

Few markets are as distorted as those involving agriculture. Governments typically impose higher tariffs on food to support domestic production even when it is at the expense of consumer welfare. Some governments will even starve their own people during wars or due to geopolitical objectives. Additionally, food is substitutable and so if wheat is expensive there may be a switch to rice or some other lower priced grain. Consequently, price is not always a good indicator of trade opportunities.  For example, in Turkey the producer price of wheat is the equivalent of $199.60/MT and the country imports the equivalent of 11.8 MT/per capita of wheat. Meanwhile, in Oman the local value of wheat is a whopping $929.80/MT and yet imports are le...

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Market Commentary: Volume Gives Way as Bearish Slide Moderates

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Market Commentary: Corn Firm, Bean Weak, Weak Wheat Rebound

Overall, it remains a sideways market with corn showing the most confidence but overall market weakness that is both seasonal, and reflective of the fundamentals. China’s purchases of soybeans are now humdrum, but rumor of a possible Chinese corn purchase added a little spice to the marke...

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Market Commentary: Volume Gives Way as Bearish Slide Moderates

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Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.4375/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0975/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.4925/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $297.6/short ton, down $0.8...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Corn Firm, Bean Weak, Weak Wheat Rebound

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.445/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.5225/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $298.4/short ton, up $0.2 from...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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