Wide Divide Ahead of MC 13 All sides remain far apart at a WTO senior officials meeting looking for deliverables at the coming MC12 meeting in Abu Dhabi in February. The Biden Administration is mimicking Trump policies that ignore the majority developing countries’ demands. The 90-plus developing countries want policy space for food security purposes, the permanent ability to stockpile food, and more special and differential policy exceptions. They also want disciplines on domestic subsidies used by rich countries. All these policies are deemed by Washington to be policy-distorting, deviations from free trade principles, or un-reciprocated policy concessions. The divide is so large that the EU says it supports public stock hol...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: The hot, dry weather forecast continues to drive strength in grain futures with corn and soybeans hitting another day of strong gains. Monday’s Crop Progress and Conditions data were in line with market expectations and showed relatively few concerns for the...
Yesterday we wrote about the Q1 GDP numbers and the June employment reports in an article entitled Real GDP for Q1 Relying on AI Buildout, Held Back by Consumer Spending. That article mentioned that consumer spending had become a drag on GDP. Nonetheless, real GDP in Q1 was revised upward to 2...
Key Takeaways: The Middle East and North Africa's arid climate and limited water resources have created a structural dependence on imported wheat. Government wheat tenders in major importing countries serve as important benchmarks for global trade, providing insight into exporter competitivene...